Projects funded by the NCN

Information on the principal investigator and host institution

Information of the project and the call

Keywords

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PRobabilistic mid- and long-term prIce fORecasting In electriciTY markets

2021/43/I/HS4/02578

Keywords:

probabilistic forecasting electricity markets statistical and machine learning fundamental models

Descriptors:

  • HS4_003:
  • HS4_006:
  • ST6_011:

Panel:

HS4 - Individuals, institutions, markets: economics, finance, management, demography, social and economic geography, urban studies

Host institution :

Politechnika Wrocławska

woj. dolnośląskie

Other projects carried out by the institution 

Principal investigator (from the host institution):

prof. Rafał Weron 

Number of co-investigators in the project: 4

Call: OPUS 22 (LAP) - announced on 2021-09-15

Amount awarded: 922 200 PLN

Project start date (Y-m-d): 2023-09-01

Project end date (Y-m-d): 2027-08-31

Project duration:: 48 months (the same as in the proposal)

Project status: Pending project

Project description

Download the project description in a pdf file

Note - project descriptions were prepared by the authors of the applications themselves and placed in the system in an unchanged form.

Information in the final report

  • Publication in academic press/journals (3)
  1. Extrapolating the long-term seasonal component of electricity prices for forecasting in the day-ahead market
    Authors:
    K. Chęć, B. Uniejewski, R. Weron
    Academic press:
    Journal of Commodity Markets (rok: 2025, tom: 37, strony: 100449), Wydawca: Elsevier
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    10.1016/j.jcomm.2024.100449 - link to the publication
  2. Postprocessing of point predictions for probabilistic forecasting of day-ahead electricity prices: The benefits of using isotonic distributional regression
    Authors:
    A. Lipiecki, B. Uniejewski, R. Weron
    Academic press:
    Energy Economics (rok: 2024, tom: 139, strony: 107934), Wydawca: Elsevier
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    10.1016/j.eneco.2024.107934 - link to the publication
  3. Cost-benefit analysis of a municipal waste management project: Using a survey of professional forecasters to provide reliable projections until 2035
    Authors:
    Y. Chawla, K. Chojnacka, M. Paca, A. Pudełko, R. Weron, P. Zaleski
    Academic press:
    Journal of Cleaner Production (rok: 2025, tom: 494, strony: 144945), Wydawca: Elsevier
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    10.1016/j.jclepro.2025.144945 - link to the publication

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