Projects funded by the NCN


Information on the principal investigator and host institution

Information of the project and the call

Keywords

Equipment

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Cointegration analysis and its application to modelling Polish national economy

2013/08/A/HS4/00612

Keywords:

macromodelling cointegration

Descriptors:

  • HS4_3: Econometrics, statistical methods

Panel:

HS4 - Individuals, institutions, markets: economics, finance, management, demography, social and economic geography, urban studies

Host institution :

Uniwersytet Łódzki, Wydział Ekonomiczno-Socjologiczny

woj. łódzkie

Other projects carried out by the institution 

Principal investigator (from the host institution):

prof. Aleksander Welfe 

Number of co-investigators in the project: 10

Call: MAESTRO 4 - announced on 2012-12-15

Amount awarded: 1 998 500 PLN

Project start date (Y-m-d): 2013-08-28

Project end date (Y-m-d): 2019-08-27

Project duration:: 72 months (the same as in the proposal)

Project status: Project settled

Equipment purchased [PL]

  1. Program Eviews (18 000 PLN)
  2. Dell Precision T5600 (37 000 PLN)
  3. Notebook Dell Latitude E5540.

Information in the final report

  • Publication in academic press/journals (23)
  • Book publications / chapters in book publications (1)
  1. Constructing joint confidence bands for impulse response functions of VAR models - A review
    Authors:
    H. Lütkepohl, A. Staszewska-Bystrova, P. Winker
    Academic press:
    Econometrics and Statistics (rok: 2020, tom: 13, strony: 69-83), Wydawca: Elsevier
    Status:
    Published
  2. Convergence-driven inflation and the channels of its absorption
    Authors:
    Karolina Konopczak, Aleksander Welfe
    Academic press:
    Journal of Policy Modeling (rok: 2017, tom: 39, strony: 1019-1034), Wydawca: Elsevier
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    10.1016/j.jpolmod.2017.02.001 - link to the publication
  3. Skewness-adjusted bootstrap confidence intervals and confidence bands for impulse response functions,
    Authors:
    D. Grabowski, A. Staszewska-Bystrova, P. Winker
    Academic press:
    AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis (rok: 2019, tom: 104, strony: 11810), Wydawca: Springer
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    10.1007/s10182-018-00347-9 - link to the publication
  4. Structural Change in theDeterministic and Stochastic Part of VECM. I(1) and I(2) Case
    Authors:
    Michał Majsterek, Emilia Gosińska
    Academic press:
    Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics (rok: 2020, tom: 12, strony: 317-345), Wydawca: Polska Akademia Nauk
    Status:
    Published
  5. Who is responsible for asymmetric fuel price adjustments? An application of the threshold cointegrated VAR model
    Authors:
    Emilia Gosińska, Katarzyna Leszkiewicz-Kędzior, Aleksander Welfe
    Academic press:
    Baltic Journal of Economics (rok: 2020, tom: 20, strony: 59-73), Wydawca: Taylor and Francis Group
    Status:
    Published
  6. Asymetryczny wpływ zmiany stopy procentowej WIBOR na stopy banków komercyjnych oraz gospodarkę Polski
    Authors:
    Piotr Karp
    Academic press:
    Studia Prawno-Ekonomiczne (rok: 2015, tom: XCV, strony: 261-287), Wydawca: Łódzkie Towarzystwo Naukowe
    Status:
    Published
  7. Eksport, import i kurs złotego: 2000-2014
    Authors:
    Robert Kelm
    Academic press:
    Bank i Kredyt (rok: 2016, tom: 47(6), strony: 585-620), Wydawca: Narodowy Bank Polski
    Status:
    Published
  8. Real exchange rates, oil price, spillover effects and tripolarity
    Authors:
    Piotr Kębłowski, Aleksander Welfe, Katarzyna Leszkiewicz-Kędzior
    Academic press:
    Eastern European Economics (rok: 2020, tom: vol.58, no. 5, strony: 415-435), Wydawca: Routlege Taylor&FrancisGroup
    Status:
    Published
  9. Asymetryczny wpływ zmian kursu walutowego na gospodarkę Polski
    Authors:
    Piotr Karp
    Academic press:
    Gospodarka Narodowa (rok: 2015, tom: 6, strony: 29-49), Wydawca: Szkoła Główna Handlowa
    Status:
    Published
  10. Comparison of Methods for Constructing Joint Confidence Bands for Impulse Response Functions
    Authors:
    Lütkepohl H., Staszewska-Bystrova A., Winker P.
    Academic press:
    International Journal of Forecasting (rok: 2015, tom: 31(3), strony: 782-798), Wydawca: Elsevier
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    10.1016/j.ijforecast.2013.08.003 - link to the publication
  11. Confidence bands for impulse responses: Bonferroni versus Wald
    Authors:
    Lütkepohl H., Staszewska-Bystrova A., Winker P.
    Academic press:
    Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics (rok: 2015, tom: 77(6), strony: 800-821), Wydawca: University of Oxford, Department of Economics
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    10.1111/obes.12114 - link to the publication
  12. Measuring Forecast Uncertainty of Corporate Bond Spreads by Bonferroni-Type Prediction Bands
    Authors:
    Anna Staszewska-Bystrova, Peter Winker
    Academic press:
    Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics (rok: 2014, tom: 45445, strony: 89-104), Wydawca: Polska Akademia Nauk Oddział Łódź
    Status:
    Published
  13. Monte Carlo Analysis of Forecast Error Variance Decompositions under Alternative Model Identification Schemes
    Authors:
    Anna Staszewska-Bystrova
    Academic press:
    Acta Universitatis Lodziensis (rok: 2018, tom: 5, strony: 115-131), Wydawca: Acta Universitatis Lodziensis. Folia Oeconomica
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    10.18778/0208-6018.338.07 - link to the publication
  14. Wpływ cen paliw na procesy inflacyjne w polskiej gospodarce
    Authors:
    Katarzyna Leszkiewicz-Kędzior
    Academic press:
    Bank i Kredyt (rok: 2015, tom: 46(4), strony: 357-392), Wydawca: Narodowy Bank Polski
    Status:
    Published
  15. Wpływ potencjalnych zmian składników popytu finalnego na gospodarkę Polski. Analiza na podstawie modelu WM-1
    Authors:
    Piotr Karp, Aleksander Welfe
    Academic press:
    Gospodarka Narodowa (rok: 2018, tom: vol 296(4), strony: 35-50), Wydawca: Kolegium Analiz Ekonomicznych Szkoły Głownej Handlowej w Warszawie
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    10.33119/GN/102222 - link to the publication
  16. Comovements of Stock Markets in the CEE-3 Countries During the Global Financial Crisis
    Authors:
    Wojciech Bieńkowski, Bogna Gawrońska-Nowak, Wojciech Grabowski
    Academic press:
    Eastern European Economics (rok: 2015, tom: 52 (5), strony: 32-55), Wydawca: Taylor and Francis
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    10.1080/00128775.2014.1004907 - link to the publication
  17. Improved bootstrap prediction intervals for SETAR models
    Authors:
    Anna Staszewska-Bystrova, Peter Winker
    Academic press:
    Statistical Papers (rok: 2014, tom: nie dotyczy, strony: 0), Wydawca: Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    10.1007/s00362-014-0643-1 - link to the publication
  18. Makroekonometryczny miesieczny model gospodarki Polski WM-1
    Authors:
    Aleksander Welfe, Piotr Karp
    Academic press:
    Gospodarka Narodowa (rok: 2017, tom: 4, strony: 14001), Wydawca: Kolegium Analiz Ekonomicznych Szkoły Głównej Handlowej w Warszawie
    Status:
    Published
  19. The Tobit Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Model: An Application to the Currency Market
    Authors:
    Wojciech Grabowski, Aleksander Welfe
    Academic press:
    Elsevier (rok: 2020, tom: 89, strony: 88-100), Wydawca: Economic Modelling
    Status:
    Published
  20. An Exchange Rate Model with Market Pressures and a Contagion Effect
    Authors:
    Wojciech Grabowski, Aleksander Welfe
    Academic press:
    Emerging Markets Finance and Trade (rok: 2016, tom: 52(12), strony: 2706-2720), Wydawca: Taylor and Francis Group
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    10.1080/1540496X.2016.1216931 - link to the publication
  21. Asymetric Price Adjustments in the Fuel Market
    Authors:
    Katarzyna Leszkiewicz-Kędzior, Aleksander Welfe
    Academic press:
    Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics (rok: 2014, tom: 45445, strony: 105-127), Wydawca: Polska Akademia Nauk Oddział Łódź
    Status:
    Published
  22. Improved Bootstrap Prediction Intervals for SETAR Models
    Authors:
    Staszewska-Bystrova Anna, Winker Peter
    Academic press:
    Statistical Papers (rok: 2016, tom: 57, strony: 89-98), Wydawca: Springer
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    10.1007/s00362-014-0643-1 - link to the publication
  23. Testowanie zmiany strukturalnej w modelu VEC
    Authors:
    Emilia Gosińska
    Academic press:
    Bank i Kredyt (rok: 2015, tom: 46(6), strony: 579-600), Wydawca: Narodowy Bank Polski
    Status:
    Published
  1. Ekonometria
    Authors:
    Aleksander Welfe
    Book:
    Ekonometria (rok: 2018, tom: I, strony: 486; ISBN 978-83-208-2316-5), Wydawca: Polskie Wydawnictwo Ekonomiczne S.A.
    Status:
    Published