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Probabilistic Limit Analysis for Collapse Reconstruction and Stability Assessment of Lunar Lava Tubes (PROMISE)

2023/51/D/ST10/01956

Keywords:

Lava Tube Moon Rock Mechanics Geotechnical Engineering Probabilistic Methods

Descriptors:

  • ST10_09:
  • ST8_02:
  • ST9_02:

Panel:

ST10 - Earth sciences: Earth system science, atmospheric sciences, climatology, geochemistry, geodesy, geoecology, geophysics, physical geography, geoinformatics, planetary geology, pedology, mining, chemical and physical oceanology, environmental protection

Host institution :

Politechnika Wrocławska

woj. dolnośląskie

Other projects carried out by the institution 

Principal investigator (from the host institution):

dr hab. Marcin Zbigniew Chwała 

Number of co-investigators in the project: 2

Call: SONATA 19 - announced on 2023-09-18

Amount awarded: 709 984 PLN

Project start date (Y-m-d): 2024-10-01

Project end date (Y-m-d): 2027-09-30

Project duration:: 36 months (the same as in the proposal)

Project status: Pending project

Project description

Download the project description in a pdf file

Note - project descriptions were prepared by the authors of the applications themselves and placed in the system in an unchanged form.

Information in the final report

  • Publication in academic press/journals (4)
  1. Probabilistic characterization of lunar lava tube collapses: Implications for reliability-based design, safety, and exploration
    Authors:
    Marcin Chwała, Kamil Górniak
    Academic press:
    Geoscience Frontiers (rok: 2025, tom: 16, 4, strony: 102076), Wydawca: Elsevier
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    10.1016/j.gsf.2025.102076 - link to the publication
  2. Effects of layered roof for stability and exploration of lunar lava tubes
    Authors:
    Marcin Chwała, Goro Komatsu, Junichi Haruyama
    Academic press:
    Earth and Planetary Science Letters (rok: 2024, tom: 643, strony: 11891), Wydawca: Elsevier
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    10.1016/j.epsl.2024.118918 - link to the publication
  3. Stability and Collapse Analysis of Terrestrial Lava Tubes Under Irregular Shapes: Case Study of Skull and Valentine Caves
    Authors:
    Marcin Chwała, Maciej Bodlak, Patrick Whelley
    Academic press:
    Journal of Geophysical Research: Planets (rok: 2025, tom: 130, 8, strony: e2025JE009109), Wydawca: American Geosciences Union
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    10.5281/zenodo.18268930 - link to the publication
  4. Slope stability analysis of the Mare Tranquillitatis Pit
    Authors:
    Abdallah Alajrami, Marcin Chwała, Kamil Górniak
    Academic press:
    Acta Astronautica (rok: 2026, tom: 238, A, strony: 672-689), Wydawca: Elsevier
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    10.1016/j.actaastro.2025.09.050 - link to the publication

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