Projects funded by the NCN

Information on the principal investigator and host institution

Information of the project and the call

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Analysis of the professional macroeconomic forecasts from the perspective of business cycle changes and financial market movements.

2015/17/N/HS4/00209

Keywords:

macroeconomic forecasting business cycle financial markets

Descriptors:

  • HS4_1: Macroeconomics (incl. economic balance, economic growth, business cycles in global economy, labour economics)
  • HS4_6: Financial markets, international finance, public finance
  • HS4_3: Econometrics, statistical methods

Panel:

HS4 - Individuals, institutions, markets: economics, finance, management, demography, social and economic geography, urban studies

Host institution :

Uniwersytet Warszawski, Wydział Nauk Ekonomicznych

woj. mazowieckie

Other projects carried out by the institution 

Principal investigator (from the host institution):

Paulina Ziembińska 

Number of co-investigators in the project: 2

Call: PRELUDIUM 9 - announced on 2015-03-16

Amount awarded: 27 000 PLN

Project start date (Y-m-d): 2016-03-17

Project end date (Y-m-d): 2018-03-16

Project duration:: 24 months (the same as in the proposal)

Project status: Project settled

Project description

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Note - project descriptions were prepared by the authors of the applications themselves and placed in the system in an unchanged form.

Information in the final report

  • Publication in academic press/journals (4)
  1. Quality of tests of expectation formation for revised data
    Authors:
    Paulina Ziembińska
    Academic press:
    Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics (rok: 2021, tom: 13, strony: 405-453), Wydawca: Polish Academy of Sciencies - Lodz Branch
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    10.24425/cejeme.2021.139836 - link to the publication
  2. The importance of data revisions for statistical inference
    Authors:
    Paulina Ziembińska
    Academic press:
    Wiadomości Statystyczne. The Polish Statistician (rok: 2021, tom: 66, strony: 45497), Wydawca: Główny Urząd Statystyczny i Polskie Towarzystwo Statystyczne
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    10.5604/01.3001.0014.7387 - link to the publication
  3. Znaczenie rewizji danych w procesie modelowania.
    Authors:
    Paulina Ziembińska
    Academic press:
    Wiadomości Statystyczne (rok: 2017, tom: 2, strony: 45442), Wydawca: Główny Urząd Statystyczny i Polskie Towarzystwo Statystyczne
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    brak - link to the publication
  4. Quality of the Polish macroeconomic forecasts in the context of data revisions
    Authors:
    Paulina Ziembińska
    Academic press:
    Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics , Wydawca: Polish Academy of Sciencies - Lodz Branch
    Status:
    Submitted
    DOI:
    brak - link to the publication

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