Averaging forecasts of wholesale electricity prices

2013/11/N/HS4/03649

Keywords

Descriptors

  • HS4_3: Ekonometria i metody statystyczne
  • HS4_6: Rynki finansowe, bankowość, finanse przedsiębiorstw, finanse publiczne

Panel

HS4 – Individuals, institutions, markets: economics, finance, management, demography, social and economic geography, urban studies

Host institution

Politechnika Wrocławska, Wydział Informatyki i Zarządzania

Voivodeship: dolnośląskie

Other projects carried out by the institution »

Principal investigator (from the host institution)

Jakub Piotr Nowotarski

Number of co-investigators in the project: 2

Call

PRELUDIUM 6 – announced on 2013-09-16

Amount awarded
115 500 PLN
Project start date
2014-08-06
Project end date
2017-02-05
Project duration
30 months (the same as in the proposal)
Project status
Project settled

Equipment purchased [PL]

  1. Notebook. Cost: 5 000 PLN

Information in the final report

Publication in academic press/journals (9)

  1. Improving short term load forecast accuracy via combining sister forecasts

    Authors:
    J. Nowotarski, B. Liu, R. Weron, T. Hong
    Academic press:
    Energy (year: 2016, volume: 98, pages: 40-49), Publisher: Elsevier
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    10.1016/j.energy.2015.12.142 – link to the publication
  2. On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting

    Authors:
    J Nowotarski, R Weron
    Academic press:
    Energy Economics (year: 2016, volume: 57, pages: 228-235), Publisher: Elsevier
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    10.1016/j.eneco.2016.05.009 – link to the publication
  3. Automated variable selection and shrinkage for day-ahead electricity price forecasting

    Authors:
    B Uniejewski, J Nowotarski, R Weron
    Academic press:
    Energies (year: 2016, volume: 9 (8), pages: 621), Publisher: MDPI
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    10.3390/en9080621 – link to the publication
  4. Recent advances in electricity price forecasting: A review of probabilistic forecasting

    Authors:
    J Nowotarski, R Weron
    Academic press:
    Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews (year: 2018, volume: 81, pages: 1548-1568), Publisher: Elsevier
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    10.1016/j.rser.2017.05.234 – link to the publication
  5. To combine or not to combine? Recent trends in

    Authors:
    J Nowotarski, R Weron
    Academic press:
    ARGO (year: 2016, volume: 9, pages: 7014), Publisher: ESSEC Business School
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    link to the publication
  6. A hybrid model for GEFCom2014 probabilistic electricity price forecasting

    Authors:
    K. Maciejowska, J. Nowotarski
    Academic press:
    International Journal of Forecasting (year: 2016, volume: 32(3), pages: 1051-1056), Publisher: International Institute of Forecasters
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    10.1016/j.ijforecast.2015.11.008 – link to the publication
  7. Probabilistic Load Forecasting via Quantile Regression Averaging on Sister Forecasts

    Authors:
    B. Liu, J. Nowotarski, T. Hong, R. Weron
    Academic press:
    IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid (year: 2015, volume: PP, pages: 1), Publisher: IEEE
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    10.1109/TSG.2015.2437877 – link to the publication
  8. Computing electricity spot price prediction intervals using quantile regression and forecast averaging

    Authors:
    J. Nowotarski, R. Weron
    Academic press:
    Computational Statistics (year: 2015, volume: 30(3), pages: 791-803), Publisher: Springer
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    10.1007/s00180-014-0523-0 – link to the publication
  9. Probabilistic forecasting of electricity spot prices using Factor Quantile Regression Averaging

    Authors:
    K. Maciejowska, J. Nowotarski, R. Weron
    Academic press:
    International Journal of Forecasting (year: 2016, volume: -, pages: 1), Publisher: International Institute of Forecasters
    Status:
    Published
    DOI:
    10.1016/j.ijforecast.2014.12.004 – link to the publication

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Graphic design and implementation: Jakub Piotrowski